College Football BCS Predictions

[dlgood]

So you think I only pick fights and join wars on fandom boards? Bah!!! I figured I'd take a brief break from picking the fight elsewhere and bring it to my LJ.

Presenting Dave's Bowl Championship Series (BCS) Predictions:

BCS Standings
Rk	Team	W-L	Harris			Coaches			CPU %	BCS
			Rk	Points	%	Rk	Points	%		Prev	Avg
1	Ohio State	11-0	1	2800	1.000	1	1574	.999	.930	1	.977
2	Michigan	11-0	2	2688	.960	2	1513	.961	1.000	2	.974
3	USC	8-1	3	2458	.878	4	1373	.872	.860	7	.870
4	Florida	9-1	4	2441	.872	3	1381	.877	.800	4	.850
5	Notre Dame	9-1	5	2267	.810	5	1273	.808	.840	9	.819
6	Rutgers	9-0	7	2024	.723	8	1082	.687	.950	13	.787
7	Arkansas	9-1	6	2234	.798	6	1248	.792	.680	11	.757
8	West Virginia	8-1	8	1864	.666	7	1113	.707	.600	10	.658
9	Wisconsin	10-1	11	1678	.599	10	928	.589	.740	15	.643
10	Louisville	8-1	10	1711	.611	12	884	.561	.750	3	.641
11	LSU	8-2	9	1846	.659	9	1054	.669	.480	12	.603
12	Boise State	10-0	13	1471	.525	13	830	.527	.610	14	.554

The top two make the title game.

This week, #1 Ohio State and #2 Michigan close out their seasons playing against each other. Clearly, the winner of this game gets a spot in the title game. Given the absence of a playoff system, there will be the customary, heated debate over who gets the second spot in the title game.

Key games remaining:

• Rutgers @ West Virginia
  
• Notre Dame @ Southern California
  
• Southern Cal vs. California
  
• Arkansas vs. LSU
  
• Arkansas vs. Florida
  

Dave Handicaps:

1. an 11-1 Southern California (wins over Arkansas, Oregon, California, and Notre Dame)
   
2. a 12-0 Rutgers (Louisville and West Virginia)
   
3. a 12-1 Florida (Tennessee, LSU, Arkansas
   
4. an 11-1 Michigan (Wisconsin, Notre Dame)
   
5. a 12-1 Arkansas (Auburn, Tennesse, LSU, Florida)
   
6. an 11-1 Ohio State (Texas)
   
7. an 11-1 Notre Dame (Southern Cal, Georgia Tech)
   

Questions to fuel the controversy:

• If Southern Cal wins out, can Rutgers beat West Virginia badly enough to overtake them?
  
• Arkansas got killed by Southern Cal in the opener. Do big wins over a strong slate of SEC opponents vault them over a Notre Dame team that beats Southern Cal?
  
• Do we really want to see an Ohio State-Michigan title game, when it's a rematch of the last regular season game. If it's a game for the ages (e.g. Triple OT) does that call out for another game, or does the re-match spoil the greatness of the earlier game?
  
• Speaking of rematches, how do we possibly justify a Notre Dame - Michigan rematch given that Michigan beat ND by Four Touchdowns at Notre Dame?
  
• Or if Michigan loses to OSU, how do we vault Notre Dame over that Michigan team that beat them so soundly earlier.
  
• How much will "impressive" wins help people. What if Notre Dame shuts out Southern Cal? What if Arkansas kills Florida? What if OSU-Michigan isn't close?
  
• Can all of these teams look bad enough against each other (picture a series of 2-0 games) to allow Wisconsin, West Virginia or Boise State a sniff?

Questions? Comments? Arguments?