Colin Powell discusses the presidential election on Meet the Press.
Follow-up interview, discussion afterwards...
We'll see what comes of this later. Powell has generally been respected, though also criticized. I don't know that it'll make much a difference, and his critics will make themselves heard, but it's a clear statement against the negativism of the last few weeks.
Follow-up interview, discussion afterwards...
We'll see what comes of this later. Powell has generally been respected, though also criticized. I don't know that it'll make much a difference, and his critics will make themselves heard, but it's a clear statement against the negativism of the last few weeks.
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I have to agree that the Republican party has moved too far to the right, but the Democrats have moved too far to the left. There's a lot of us stranded in the middle with no real choice except the lesser of evils.
Some days I'd like to wake up in the Trek universe of the 24th century. Le sigh...
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And we're also seeing a lot of Conservative newspapers - papers that have never endorsed a Democrat - endorsing Obama over McCain. Papers that backed Bush - the Denver Post, Chicago Sun-Times, Kansas City Star, Atlanta Journal-Constitution and the Salt Lake Tribune. I don't know that these endorsements will make a huge difference, but it probably means something.
Not in 2006, they didn't. Democrats won by running candidates across the board. They picked off a lot of formerly Republican offices in "Red" states by running candidates that appealed at the local level, sometimes candidates that were far more conservative than the rest of the Democrats were - in part because the Rightward shift of the republicans created a lot of space. Jim Webb of Virginia was a particularly good example of that.
In this past cycle, they've won special elections in Mississippi, Lousiana and Missouri by running very conservative candidates.
You're certainly entitled to consider both parties too extreme - but if you look at the younger members in elective office in each the Republicans are trying to purge moderates and solidify ideological purity while the democrats appear to be looking to fill the vaccuum that Republican strategy has created.
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After I said I do, too, I got the feeling I really wasn't welcome in their little group. Which is okay, I don't want to share the kool-aid.
Republicans do need some youth, at the McCain office there was only old people. The local university, however, no longer has a young Republican group. Which is very telling, imho.
We'll have to see how this all plays out. We're living in very interesting times.
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The Democrats have generally decided that they'd rather win as many elections as they can with whatever candidates they can, and try to cobble as much an agenda as they can out of a lot of very disparate parts. They haven't really done much coherent in the 110th congress though.
The Republicans, particularly the younger wing of the party, has been pretty fundamental on ideas... figuring voters prefer party that is sure in it's ideals and policies even at the cost of rigidity or alienating moderates. It's the idea that compromise is capitulation and something to be rejected not encouraged.
It worked for them sporadically in the 90s, and certainly in the 2002 and 2004 elections. It's not going to work this year, mostly because the policies and performance of the Bush Administration and Republican congress are so discredited and so disliked - and they can't run against "Washington" because they are Washington.
The test will be, if they get knocked completely out of power... The Republicans went from complete control over the government to only having the Court and maybe the white house. Will they go to the middle or decide that they lost because they weren't conservative enough.
Given the authoritarian bent of the republican party leadership, I think they'll still go right.
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If McCain wanted to be a true maverick, he should have declared himself an Independent and taken his chances. If Ross Perot can get a big chunk of the vote, you know McCain could.
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If McCain wanted to be a true maverick, he should have declared himself an Independent and taken his chances. If Ross Perot can get a big chunk of the vote, you know McCain could.
Based upon fame, resume, and persona... yeah. But structurally, no. It can be very hard to get offices up in every state, to get yourself on all the ballots, and to have ads and things out everywhere.
Perot put a ton of his personal wealth into the election, and I don't know that Cindy McCain could have afforded (or even wanted) to expose her own wealth in that way. And I'm not sure that McCain would have had the organizaitonal skills required to run on his own.
Whether or not he had any inclination to do so, I would imagine he would have viewed Teddy Roosevelt's 1912 3rd Party campaign (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Progressive_Party_(United_States,_1912)) as instructive.
But more specifically, he could still have more effectively positioned himself as a maverick, even without dropping from the Republican party - he'd just do a stronger job of distancing his future plans from some recent republican policies.
It's not enough, for a lot of voters, for McCain to point out his maverick stands in the past - he has to paint a specific departure from Repulican orthodoxy he intends in the future. And he hasn't done that. Which is why Obama keeps pushing the "he voted with Bush 90% of the time" angle.
What it ends up looking like, is that McCain (1) either isn't really a maverick after all or (2) wants to be a maverick but can't impose his will upon his own supporters. Either of which hurts him when trying to woo remaining voters that are genuinely undecided between McCain or Obama.
So on a test of "is he leading his party in a new direction or just getting pulled along" McCain isn't doing that. Obama does that in his rhetoric, but it's still a matter of hope to see whether he could manage a democratic congress once they've all won an election. Bill Clinton certainly couldn't.